The Most Impressive Run to the Final Four And Its Not Kentuckys

Which team had the most impressive run to the Final Four?The question might seem like the sports equivalent of “Which of your children do you love the most?” Any team that wins four straight games in the NCAA men’s basketball tournament has a lot to be proud of. Papa Brackets thinks all the Final Four teams — Florida, Connecticut, Kentucky and Wisconsin — are very special.But conventional wisdom appears to hold Kentucky’s path in ever-so-slightly higher regard than the other schools’. The Wildcats defeated an unbeaten No. 1 seed (Wichita State) and both of last year’s finalists (Michigan and Louisville) en route to Arlington.Kentucky has been great. Despite entering the tournament as a No. 8 seed, it has a 19 percent chance of winning the NCAA championship, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast model. That’s up from only a 2 percent chance before the tournament began.Still, Connecticut’s run has been slightly more special than Kentucky’s so far. And Wisconsin’s, even more so.The FiveThirtyEight model has a particular way of answering our question. It evaluates teams not in any absolute sense, but relative to its expectations. And it accounts not only for wins and losses (by definition, any team that makes to the Final Four has won at least four straight games), but also for margin of victory.To be more specific, the model calculates not only the win probability for each game, but also an implicit point spread. For example, it gives Florida a 69.9 percent chance of beating Connecticut on Saturday. That translates into Florida being 5.5 point favorites. The model has Wisconsin with a 58.2 percent chance of beating Kentucky, which would equate to the Badgers being favored by two points.How a team fares relative to this point spread affects how the model evaluates it going forward. Why? Tournament results are quite predictive of future tournament results: A team that is terrific in the early rounds often does well in later ones.Occasionally, a team can end up in worse shape despite winning its game. This happens when the model expects a blowout and the team wins by a smaller margin.A case in point is Florida in its opening-round game against Albany. The model had the Gators as 24-point favorites, but Florida won by 12 points (in fact, the game was a little closer than the scoreline implies).What about Florida’s three other wins? It was clear that the Gators were the favorite in each game, but they performed about in line with the model’s expectations — beating its point spread by six points against Pittsburgh and four points against UCLA, and underperforming it by two points in their win Saturday against Dayton. To be clear, the Gators have been great — and the model has them as the plurality favorite to win the tournament. But Florida was a great team going in. It has performed roughly as expected against a relatively easy draw.How about Kentucky? If viewed as a No. 8 seed, the Wildcats have been extremely impressive — not least on account of the quality of competition they’ve faced. But Kentucky was no typical No. 8. The Wildcats ranked first in the country in the preseason AP and USA Today Coaches polls, a factor for which the FiveThirtyEight model accounts. They took 10 losses in the regular season, but they faced a tough schedule; all but two of the losses, both to Florida, came by single digits.Kentucky was badly underseeded to begin with, in other words. The FiveThirtyEight model actually had Kentucky as slight favorites against Michigan, despite the Wildcats’ inferior seed. The Wildcats were underdogs against Louisville and Wichita State, but only modest ones, and both games were close. Kentucky outperformed the FiveThirtyEight point spread by two points against Michigan, four points against Wichita State and 10 points against Louisville.By this standard, both Connecticut and Wisconsin have done more to exceed expectations. The Huskies were the narrowest of favorites against Iowa State on Friday, in part because Madison Square Garden is a de facto home court for them. (Geographic distance from a team’s home campus is another factor that the FiveThirtyEight model accounts for; the author of this article went to the games at MSG for “research purposes” and can confirm that there was a lot of Huskies love there.) But Connecticut also won as underdogs against Michigan State and Villanova. The Villanova win, which came by 12 points, was relatively emphatic.The improvement in the model’s esteem for Wisconsin is partially the result of the Badgers’ upset of No. 1 seed Arizona on Saturday. But it has more to do with the their performance in earlier rounds. Wisconsin thrashed Baylor by 17 points Thursday, and the Badgers beat American University by 40 points in their opening game. On average, Wisconsin has outperformed the FiveThirtyEight point spread by 12 points, as compared with nine points for Connecticut and four for Kentucky.Evaluating teams by their margins of victory is unpopular; it may seem as heartless as rating your kids by their SAT scores. We’re fans of systems such as the Basketball Power Index (BPI) that account for the scoring margins throughout games and not just at the final buzzer. But margin of victory predicts future performance reasonably well — better than ratings based on wins and losses alone do. By that measure, Wisconsin heads to Texas with the most momentum.(Nerd alert: The point spread can be derived through the formula NORMSINV(WINPROB)*10.36 in Microsoft Excel, where WINPROB is a team’s probability of winning.) read more

Attorney for abuse survivors calls for probe of San Diego Diocese

first_img KUSI Newsroom Attorney for abuse survivors calls for probe of San Diego Diocese Categories: California News, Local San Diego News FacebookTwitter KUSI Newsroom, November 9, 2018 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek  . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave SettingsSAN DIEGO (KUSI) – An attorney who represents survivors of clergy sexual abuse is calling for an investigation of the San Diego Diocese. San Diego attorney Irwin Zalkin held a news conference on Thursday, accusing the diocese of trying to hide information about abusive priests.In August, the Pennsylvania Attorney General released a grand jury report that found more than 1,000 children in six Pennsylvania dioceses had been victimized by priests in cases dating back to 1947.Following the disclosures in Pennsylvania, the San Diego Diocese in September released a list of 51 priests in the San Diego and San Bernardino dioceses who had been credibly accused of abuse. However, Zalkin told reporters that he knows of at least 10 to 12 priests who abused children but are not included on the list.”We have clients that have been calling us since this list has come out and have been telling us, ‘Hey, my priest is not on this list.’ This is what happened to me,” Zalkin said.The attorney who negotiated a nearly $200 million settlement on behalf of 144 abuse survivors in 2007 believes the San Diego Diocese destroyed past records of predator priests and is continuing to cover up the broader scope of the clergy abuse scandal. He is calling on the California Attorney General to launch an investigation similar to the one in Pennsylvania to look into the internal records of the San Diego Diocese.He said an independent investigation is needed “because you cannot trust this diocese to be transparent.” Zalkin said the Church has decided to place more importance on protecting its reputation. “My view is that they are more concerned about protecting their “brand” than they really are about the protection of children and making it right.”The San Diego Diocese released a statement that read in part, “All accusations of priest misconduct are taken seriously. If anyone believes the published list is incomplete, they may contact the Diocese at (858) 490-8353.” Posted: November 9, 2018last_img read more

RMLD Encourages Customers To Donate To Mass Good Neighbor Energy Fund

first_imgREADING, MA — Reading Municipal Light Department (RMLD), a sponsor of the Massachusetts Good Neighbor Energy Fund (GNEF), announces that the Fund’s 2019 “Give The Gift of Warmth” campaign is now underway with a goal to raise $500,000 and provide energy assistance to more than 1,650 households throughout the Commonwealth. The Fund, which helps families in temporary crisis who do not qualify for federal or state assistance with the payment of their energy expenses, is currently open to all eligible candidates. The GNEF has raised more than $21.5 million and assisted over 88,750 households in need since its inception in 1985.Massachusetts residents who wish to support the Fund can “Give the Gift of Warmth” by using the green-colored Good Neighbor Energy Fund donation envelope found as an insert in your electric bill. Customers can also donate on-line by visiting http://www.magoodneighbor.org or simply mail a check payable to “Good Neighbor Energy Fund” and send it to the Good Neighbor Energy Fund, c/o The Salvation Army, 25 Shawmut Road, Canton, Massachusetts 02021-1408.The Massachusetts Good Neighbor Energy Fund is often the last resort for families who do not qualify for federal and state assistance programs. The Salvation Army, which administers the Fund, pays the energy provider directly for households whose gross income falls between 60 and 80 percent of the state’s median income levels. For example, a household size of 4 would need to have a total gross yearly income of between $68,289 and $91,052 to qualify. This campaign year’s Fund disbursement is $300 per eligible household per heating season. To apply to the Fund for assistance, visit a local Salvation Army Corps Community Center or call 800-334-3047.(NOTE: The above press release is from the Reading Municipal Light Department.)Like Wilmington Apple on Facebook. Follow Wilmington Apple on Twitter. Follow Wilmington Apple on Instagram. Subscribe to Wilmington Apple’s daily email newsletter HERE. Got a comment, question, photo, press release, or news tip? Email wilmingtonapple@gmail.com.Share this:TwitterFacebookLike this:Like Loading… RelatedRMLD Cuts Ribbon For New Battery Energy Storage SystemIn “Government”SAVE THE DATE: RMLD To Hold Family-Friendly Open House On October 10In “Community”RMLD Offers New Solar Rebate Program To CustomersIn “Government”last_img read more

Russo Brothers Netflix Original Feature Dhaka Wraps in India

first_img ×Actors Reveal Their Favorite Disney PrincessesSeveral actors, like Daisy Ridley, Awkwafina, Jeff Goldblum and Gina Rodriguez, reveal their favorite Disney princesses. Rapunzel, Mulan, Ariel,Tiana, Sleeping Beauty and Jasmine all got some love from the Disney stars.More VideosVolume 0%Press shift question mark to access a list of keyboard shortcutsKeyboard Shortcutsplay/pauseincrease volumedecrease volumeseek forwardsseek backwardstoggle captionstoggle fullscreenmute/unmuteseek to %SPACE↑↓→←cfm0-9Next UpJennifer Lopez Shares How She Became a Mogul04:350.5x1x1.25×1.5x2xLive00:0002:1502:15 “We’re excited to make a film that hopefully speaks to a wide range of audiences – a gritty, character-driven action movie with a lot of heart,” Hargrave said. Hargrave has worked on several films as a second unit director, including “Deadpool 2” and “The Accountant.”“India has provided incredibly beautiful backdrops that have added to the intricacies of our production,” said Anthony and Joe Russo. Production will finish in late February 2019. Feature debutant, Sam Hargrave has wrapped the India schedule of Netflix Original action adventure film “Dhaka.” The film shot at Ahmedabad and Mumbai locations and will now move on to Bangkok and Phuket, Thailand.Stars include Chris Hemsworth (“Avengers: Infinity War”,) David Harbour (“Stranger Things”,) Golshifteh Farahani (“Girls Of The Sun”,) Manoj Bajpayee (“Bhonsle”,) Randeep Hooda (“Highway”,) Priyanshu Painyuli (“Once Again”) and debutant Rudhraksh Jaiswal.Based on a script by Joe Russo (“Captain America: Civil War”), the film follows a young boy caught in a war between drug lords and a mercenary who comes to his rescue.Anthony and Joe Russo and Mike Larocca are producing for their AGBO Films outfit, with Ari Costa as executive producer. Hemsworth is producing, and Ben Grayson (“Lair Of The Sawfish”) co-producing for Thematic Entertainment, with Eric Gitter (“Atomic Blonde”), Patrick Newall (“Anon”) also serving as producers.center_img Popular on Variety last_img read more